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WTO warns of global food crisis


By BBC
Published : 10 Jun 2022 10:54 PM

A food crisis kicked off by the Ukraine war could last for years without intervention, the head of the World Trade Organisation said.

African countries could be hit especially hard by wheat and fertilizer shortages, said WTO director general Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, reports BBC.

Millions of tonnes of grain are sitting in warehouses and Ukrainian ports unable to be exported due to the war. She said that was "really sad" to see as grain prices soar.

Ukraine is a major global exporter of wheat, contributing to 9 percent of the global market. It also accounts for a massive 42% chunk of the global sunflower oil market, and 16% of the world's maize.

Because of gridlock due to a Russian blockade of Black Sea ports, and Russian and Ukrainian mines along the coast, between 20 and 25 million tonnes of wheat are stuck in Ukraine while global grain prices spiral upwards.

Okonjo-Iweala said wheat prices had risen 59 percent compared with last year, sunflower oil was up 30 percent, while maize was 23 percent higher.

The United Nations is leading efforts to try to establish a "grain corridor" with a Turkish naval escort for tankers leaving Odessa and other Ukrainian ports.

But Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has said Ukraine needs to clear mines from its Black Sea ports.

"We state daily that we're ready to guarantee the safety of vessels leaving Ukrainian ports and heading for [Turkish waters], we're ready to do that in cooperation with our Turkish colleagues," he said on Wednesday.

Meanwhile Ukraine has said it needs "effective security guarantees" before it can start shipments, voicing concerns that Moscow could use the potential corridor to attack Odessa from the sea.

Ukraine typically produces enough to feed 400 million mouths, but Russia stands accused of turning that breadbasket into a stealth missile, with blockaded ports reducing the stream of exports to a trickle.

It is some countries in the Middle East and Africa in particular that will feel the threat of shortages.

Libya and Eritrea get more than 40% of their wheat from Ukraine, and Lebanon more than 60%.

But the pain is global; wheat prices are up a third by since Russia invaded.

There is no quick fix. Even with an agreement for a corridor and the ability to secure sufficient ships, mines will have to be removed from the area to ensure safe passage, which is a lengthy painstaking process.

And already there are warnings that tens of millions of people are at risk of famine, and social unrest erupting in parts of the globe.