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Trump Struggles To Break Iran War Deadlock


Bangladeshpost
Published : 31 Jul 2026 10:11 PM | Updated : 31 Jul 2026 10:13 PM

The United States' military campaign against Iran has reached a strategic stalemate, with President Donald Trump facing mounting pressure to find a diplomatic solution while continuing military strikes have failed to bring Tehran back to negotiations.

Despite fresh US attacks and Trump's warning that Iran would face another "beating," there has been little indication that the conflict is moving closer to a political settlement.

Previous diplomatic efforts also collapsed after a memorandum of understanding intended to ease tensions failed to produce lasting results.

Analysts say Washington now faces difficult choices. Expanding the conflict through a ground operation would carry significant military and political risks, while accepting Iran's effective control over the Strait of Hormuz would undermine long-standing US policy on freedom of navigation.

Lyle Goldstein, director of Asia Engagement at the US-based think tank Defense Priorities, said the United States was facing a difficult strategic situation with few attractive options.

The conflict is also having far-reaching consequences beyond the United States and Iran.

Disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz have fuelled concerns over global energy supplies, pushing up oil prices and increasing fears of shortages of diesel, fertiliser and liquefied natural gas, particularly in Europe.

Analysts say any prolonged disruption could further increase inflation and place additional pressure on economies already struggling with higher living costs.

Experts argue that any long-term settlement is likely to require a broader diplomatic framework involving Gulf states and other international stakeholders to ensure the security of commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

One proposal under discussion would establish a multinational mechanism involving Gulf countries, including Iran, to jointly manage maritime services and help stabilise shipping and energy markets.

Officials from Iran and Oman have recently held discussions on possible arrangements for managing maritime traffic if the strategic waterway is fully reopened.

Some analysts believe a regional framework could allow both Washington and Tehran to claim political success while reducing the risk of further military escalation.

However, they caution that such an arrangement would not resolve broader disputes over Iran's nuclear and missile programmes.

Analysts also argue that renewed diplomatic efforts may require greater involvement from European countries, which played a key role in previous negotiations over Iran's nuclear programme.

However, strained relations between Washington and several European allies have complicated prospects for a coordinated diplomatic initiative.

Observers say uncertainty over US strategy and continuing military operations remain major obstacles to reviving meaningful negotiations.

While some experts believe a compromise may eventually become unavoidable, they warn that achieving one will require significant concessions from both sides and sustained international diplomatic engagement.